Sunday, August 18 2024
Morning File
Forward of a chilly entrance and new air mass, robust storms shall be growing this afternoon. NOAA has larger the danger for serious storms in our area and alongside the Jap US.
The collection of showers and serious storms we get would possibly rely on breaks of solar and native surging of upper temperatures in consequence to feed into the hurricane formation.
Extra clouds will stay us cooler and result in much less robust or serious storms.
SEVERE STORM RISK
Attainable for storms to supply top winds with gusts over 60 mph, Flash Flooding from sluggish shifting storms, and hail over 1″ in diameter. Twister possibility is low, however an remoted spin-up is imaginable.
Ernesto is now a Tropical Hurricane with sustained winds of 70 mph this morning. After making an immediate hit on Bermuda, it knocked out energy to 70% of the island. The hurricane is shifting away into the North Atlantic however nonetheless generating top waves alongside the East Coast.
The week forward is also a Fall Preview. Temps will drop into the 50s and, farther inland, 40s one or two mornings.
SEVERE STORM RISK WIDE VIEW
This suits up with the frenzy of the Chilly Entrance into the Southeast US because the instigator for as of late.
Morning Floor Climate
Low Drive close to Toronto has brought about in depth flooding in Ontario, Canada, this weekend. The trailing Chilly Entrance during the Ohio Valley could also be extending into the Deep South, serving to increase well-liked robust to serious storms this afternoon.
In the back of it’s the Pre-Fall Air Mass that may take over a lot of the paintings week forward.
Tropical Hurricane Ernesto has 70 mph winds and would possibly skirt Nova Scotia in coastal Canada in a couple of days.
5 AM Stats From Nationwide Storm Middle
———————————————-
LOCATION…34.6N 63.0W
ABOUT 690 MI…1110 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
ABOUT 980 MI…1580 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH…110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…978 MB…28.88 INCHES
LOCAL WEATHER
Are living Radar Widget
The flare-up of storms will start between Midday and a couple of PM. The height task shall be 3 PM to ten PM.
FORECAST
Radar Simulation: Midday to Nighttime
Snapshots
2 PM
Showers and thunderstorms shall be growing within the mountains.
4 PM
Storms would possibly succeed in metro spaces… some in Central Maryland is also SLOW MOVERS. Those can sell off heavy rain and result in native flooding like we noticed the day gone by round Frederick.
Afternoon Temperatures
This shall be made up our minds via any breaks of solar and the early construction of showers.
6 PM
Top Time for serious storms in central Maryland and metro spaces.
8 PM
Serious Hurricane Line is also shifting via Philadelphia and to the Jap Shore of Maryland.
-EXTENDED FORECAST BELOW-
CLIMATE DATA: Baltimore
TODAY August 18
Dawn at 6:23 AM
Sundown at 7:57 PM
Standard Low in Baltimore: 66ºF
Report 51ºF in 1979
Standard Top in Baltimore: 87ºF
Report 96ºF 1995; 2002; 2019
Summer time Scorching Day Totals At BWI
8 Days at or above 100ºF
39 Days overall at or above 90ºF
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MONDAY AUGUST 19
The timing of the chilly entrance and new airmass will usher in a drop of temperatures and shift of the rain focal point throughout the afternoon.
Morning Temperatures
Midday Temperatures
This can be the height temperatures for the day in central Maryland and close by because the chilly entrance shall be arriving and pushing south within the afternoon.
Radar Simulation Midday to Nighttime
The cooler air will push the showers and storms to increase throughout the afternoon and night.
6 PM Radar Recommendation
The chilly entrance shall be transferring south, shifting the point of interest for robust or serious storms into Southern Maryland and Southeast VA. There can be some leftover showers and storms North of Philadelphia into the Poconos.
The mountain showers shall be in accordance with the cooler air arriving.
Jet Circulation Sunday to Thursday
The animation displays the 500mb heights. That is round 18,000 toes and represents the nice and cozy and funky air within the environment that responds to how top it’s measured.
Right here, we will see the inflow and established Cool Trend for far of the week.
Wednesday Morning Snapshot
The morning shall be cold, with a Deep Higher-Degree Trough focused in New England and stretching down the East Coast.
Some inland spaces will drop into the forties.
7 Day Forecast
After the storms cross, an Early Fall-Like airmass will settle in for the week. Whilst I’m appearing 50s for Baltimore metro spaces on Wednesday morning, some inland spaces shall be within the 40s.
Please percentage your ideas and highest climate pics/movies, or simply be in contact by means of social media.
RESTATING MY MESSAGE ABOUT DYSLEXIA
I’m mindful there are some spelling and grammar typos and coffee different system defects. I take duty for my errors or even the pc system defects I would possibly pass over. I’ve made a couple of public statements through the years, however in case you are new right here, you could have overlooked it: I’ve dyslexia and discovered throughout my 2nd 12 months at Cornell College. It didn’t prevent me from getting my meteorology level and being the primary to get the AMS CBM within the Baltimore/Washington area.
Certainly one of my professors advised me that I had made it that a ways with out figuring out and not to let it’s a crutch going ahead. That used to be Mark Wysocki, and he used to be completely right kind! I do pass over my errors in my very own proofreading. The autocorrect spell test on my pc now and again does an injustice to make it worse. I may make errors in forecasting. Nobody is absolute best at predicting the long run. All the maps and data are correct. The ‘wordy’ stuff can get sticky.
There was no editor who can test my paintings whilst writing and to have it able to ship out in a newsworthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of the internet staff that is helping me take care of this website. She has taken it upon herself to edit typos when she is to be had. That may be AFTER you learn this. I settle for this and possibly proves what you learn is actually from me… It’s a part of my allure. #FITF
