Russian Offensive Marketing campaign Review, March 29, 2025
Angelica Evans, Davit Gasparyan, Olivia Gibson, Daria Novikov, and George Barros with Nate Trotter and William Runkel
March 29, 2025, 6:00 pm ET
Click on right here to peer ISW’s interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This map is up to date day by day along the static maps provide on this record.
Click on right here to peer ISW’s interactive map of Ukraine’s offensive in Kursk Oblast.
Click on right here to peer ISW’s 3-D management of terrain topographic map of Ukraine. Use of a pc (now not a cellular instrument) is strongly really helpful for the use of this data-heavy software.
Click on right here to get right of entry to ISW’s archive of interactive time-lapse maps of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Those maps supplement the static control-of-terrain map that ISW produces day by day via appearing a dynamic frontline. ISW will replace this time-lapse map archive per thirty days.
Observe: The information cut-off for this product was once 11:15 am ET on March 29. ISW will duvet next stories within the March 30 Russian Offensive Marketing campaign Review.
Ukrainian and US officers proceed to barter the phrases of transient ceasefires on Black Sea operations and effort infrastructure moves, indicating the ceasefires don’t seem to be but totally codified. Ukraine’s Ministry of Power reported on March 26 that Ukraine and the USA agreed on a listing of calories amenities that Russia should forestall placing all over an calories infrastructure ceasefire however that the US-Ukraine record is at odds with Russia’s calls for.[1] The Ministry said that Russia’s record does now not restrict moves on Ukrainian oil and gasoline amenities — even though the Kremlin reported that the ceasefire protects Russian oil and gasoline amenities from moves. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reported on March 28 that Ukrainian Protection Minister Rustem Umerov will provide US officers with proof of Russian ceasefire violations all over Umerov’s upcoming commute to the USA.[2] The precise phrases of the calories infrastructure ceasefire stay unclear, as an professional trilateral remark or settlement has now not been launched.
Zelensky said that Turkey, Bulgaria, the UK (UK), the USA, France, Romania, and Bulgaria may act as doable ceasefire screens, together with a Black Sea moratorium, however said that every one facets “will” cling inside and world consultations referring to “readiness” to behavior tracking.[3] US Vice President JD Vance said on March 28 that the USA and Ukraine have “clearly” accomplished an calories infrastructure ceasefire and have been “virtually finished” negotiating a maritime ceasefire.[4] US, Ukrainian, and Russian officers all seem to be underneath the impact that an calories infrastructure ceasefire is these days energetic regardless of the loss of a proper trilateral settlement or any obvious settlement at the precise phrases of the ceasefire.[5]
The Kremlin seems to be the use of the Black Sea ceasefire negotiations with the USA to check the level to which Russia can extract concessions from the West, because the implementation of a maritime truce would now not require any sanctions reduction. Bloomberg reported on March 28 that Russia is hard the Eu Union (EU) reconnect the Russian Agricultural Financial institution (Rosselkhozbank), one in all Russia’s greatest banks, to the SWIFT world banking gadget as a precondition to enforcing a Black Sea truce with Ukraine and as a take a look at to decide whether or not the USA will have interaction with Russia’s calls for and inspire Eu companions to toughen sanctions reduction.[6] Unspecified assets just about the Kremlin stated Russia is gauging what it may possibly safe from the Trump Management referring to sanctions within the negotiation processes and is viewing preliminary good fortune on a Russian reconnection to SWIFT as a precursor to reaching broader sanctions reduction someday. Russia seems to be exploiting the ceasefire negotiations procedure so that you can extract concessions from the West, perhaps as a tactic to realize leverage for long term negotiations and toughen its financial scenario after 3 years of diplomatic and financial isolation from the West. Russia, the USA, and Ukraine may put in force a Black Sea truce with out sanctions reduction — as Russia, Ukraine, and Turkey did all over the Black Sea Grain Initiative in 2022 and 2023.[7] Eu leaders prompt Eu international locations on March 27 to chorus from lifting any sanctions towards Russia as Russia continues to occupy and salary conflict towards Ukraine.[8]
Eu allies proceed to offer monetary and materiel toughen to Ukraine and agreed to amplify intelligence sharing with Ukraine. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky introduced on March 28 that Eu international locations agreed on the “Coalition of the Keen” summit in Paris on March 27 to amplify Ukraine’s get right of entry to to Eu intelligence, related applied sciences, and satellites and that a number of unspecified Eu international locations agreed to grant Ukraine an unspecified stage of get right of entry to to their ammunition stockpiles.[9] Zelensky famous that Ukraine additionally agreed with unspecified companions on air protection manufacturing licenses, investments in Ukraine’s manufacturing of drones and missiles, and to proceed to paintings towards artillery licensing. It stays unclear whether or not the agreed upon licenses stipulate home manufacturing in Ukraine or overseas manufacturing in different places in Europe. Zelensky said that the UK (UK) and Germany will arrange a Ramstein assembly in April 2025. French President Emmanuel Macron pledged on March 26 to offer Ukraine with an extra army reduction package deal valued at 2 billion euros (more or less $2.1 billion) that can come with anti-tank missiles, surface-to-air missiles, air protection missiles, armored cars, drones, and further Mirage fighter jets.[10] Sweden advised its militia on March 28 to allocate a complete of 80 million Swedish Kronor (more or less $7.5 million) to Ukraine’s Demining and Drone coalitions.[11] The Danish Ministry of Protection (MoD) introduced on March 27 that Denmark pledged an extra 300 million Danish Kroner (more or less $43.5 million) to a Ukrainian innovation fund that can center of attention on, amongst different issues, additional creating digital battle (EW) and drone features.[12]
Russian forces are reportedly poised to accentuate offensive operations in different locations of the frontline in Spring and Summer season 2025 in hopes of influencing ongoing ceasefire and peace negotiations. The Related Press (AP), mentioning Ukrainian officers, reported on March 29 that Russian forces are making ready to release a brand new offensive operation in an unspecified sector of the frontline within the coming weeks as a way to maximize drive on Ukraine and building up Russia’s leverage in ongoing ceasefire negotiations.[13] Two diplomats from the Team of Seven (G7) international locations advised AP that they accept as true with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s contemporary warnings that Russia is making ready for intensified floor operations in Sumy, Kharkiv, and Zaporizhia oblasts.[14] Two Ukrainian commanders said that Russian forces have not too long ago intensified reconnaissance missions alongside the frontline and offensive operations within the Pokrovsk path. Ukraine’s Khortytsia Team of Forces Spokesperson Main Viktor Trehubov advised AP that Russian forces have “recovered” after carrying out a brief operational pause within the Pokrovsk path in early March 2025. A Ukrainian servicemember said that Ukrainian intelligence has noticed signs of a vital Russian drive grouping close to Selydove (south of Pokrovsk). A Ukrainian battalion commander running within the Donetsk Oblast advised AP that there are considerations that Russia would possibly redeploy forces from the Kursk Oblast to different locations of the frontline, such because the Pokrovsk path.
ISW has not too long ago noticed intensifications in Russian offensive operations within the Lyman, Pokrovsk, and Orikhiv instructions and ongoing Russian offensive operations in northern Sumy Oblast aimed toward pushing Ukrainian forces from closing positions in Kursk Oblast.[15] Russian forces haven’t begun to make tactically vital advances in those instructions because of the intensified job, and ISW continues to watch localized Ukrainian counterattacks within the Pokrovsk and Toretsk instructions. Russian forces have at minimal complicated inside 3 kilometers of the Donetsk-Dnipropetrovsk Oblast administrative boundary in two locations of the Pokrovsk path, and the Kremlin will most probably leverage long term Russian advances into southeasternmost Dnipropetrovsk Oblast to sow chaos and worry inside the data area.[16] The Russian army command is not going to redeploy forces from Kursk Oblast if Russia intends to behavior a concerted offensive operation to clutch or advance nearer to Sumy Town, and Russia most probably does now not have sufficient readily deployable operational-level reserves to behavior vital offensive operations towards Sumy, Kharkiv, and Zaporizhzhia towns with out redeploying forces already dedicated to different locations of the frontline.
It’s not going that the Russian army is in a position to carrying out 3 vital offensive efforts towards primary Ukrainian towns even after carrying out such redeployments, as Russia has suffered vital armored automobile and group of workers losses during the last 3 years of preventing and has now not demonstrated the power to behavior advanced operations involving more than one simultaneous axes of advance since Iciness 2022. The Kremlin has to this point seemed not able to generate sufficient new recruits by means of ongoing crypto-mobilization efforts to seriously building up the Russian drive grouping in Ukraine or Russia’s strategic- and operational-level reserves to be had to go into fight in Ukraine — except Russian President Vladimir Putin chooses to behavior a deeply unpopular partial reserve name up within the close to long term, which these days seems not going.[17] ISW has now not noticed open-source stories of important Russian redeployments to the Sumy, Kharkiv, or Zaporizhia instructions — which might point out preparation for a renewed offensive effort in those locations — as of this record and can proceed to record on any notable Russian redeployments, despite the fact that Russian forces can have performed rotations now not noticed in open-source reporting. Russian forces could also be making an attempt to advance inside artillery fluctuate of those towns, on the other hand, forward of a imaginable floor ceasefire as a way to make civilian existence in those settlements untenable or get ready for floor operations till a ceasefire is established. ISW continues to evaluate that the Kremlin would most probably use any positive aspects into oblasts that Russian forces don’t present occupy to realize leverage in long term peace negotiations and justify long term Russian calls for for Ukraine to cede extra territory to Russia, together with territory that the Kremlin these days does now not call for past Crimea, Kherson, Zaporizhia, Luhansk, and Donetsk oblasts.[18]
Russia continues to focus on civilian infrastructure in Ukraine amid stories of moving and extra fatal Russian strike ways. The Ukrainian Air Pressure reported on March 29 that Russian forces released 172 Shahed and different strike and decoy drones from the path of Kursk Town; Millerovo, Rostov Oblast; Primorsko-Akhtarsk, Krasnodar Krai; and occupied Cape Chauda, Crimea in a single day on March 28 to 29.[19] The Ukrainian Air Pressure reported that Ukrainian forces downed 94 drones and that 69 decoy drones turned into “misplaced,” most probably because of Ukrainian digital battle (EW) interference. Kryvyi Rih Army Management Head Oleksandr Vilkul reported on March 29 that Russian forces additionally released ballistic missile moves towards Kryvyi Rih, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.[20] Ukrainian officers reported that Russian moves broken a hotel-restaurant advanced, homes, and constructions in Dnipro Town, killing and injuring civilians.[21] ISW continues to evaluate that Russia is concentrated on Ukrainian important and civilian infrastructure underneath the quilt of the ceasefire on calories infrastructure moves, contradicting US President Donald Trump’s said goal of the use of the transient ceasefire to succeed in a long-lasting peace in Ukraine.[22]
Russian forces are reportedly using extra complicated long-range drones, complicating Ukrainian air protection operations and permitting extra drones to penetrate Ukraine’s air protection umbrella. German outlet BILD reported on March 28 that Russia has intensified and altered its use of long-range strike drones, making it an increasing number of tough for Ukrainian forces to intercept them.[23] BILD famous that extra Russian drones have not too long ago been effectively breaching the Ukrainian air protection umbrella and that Russian forces have altered their ways and are actually having drones loiter a number of kilometers from their objectives at top altitudes ahead of carrying out synchronized moves with more than one drones. Ukrainian officers haven’t begun to touch upon any adjustments in Russian strike ways.[24]
Zelensky ordered Ukraine’s Ministry of Protection (MoD) and Common Body of workers to ascertain a brand new aviation chain of command inside the Ukrainian Common Body of workers and behavior common aviation control reform to make stronger Ukraine’s air features. Ukrainian Protection Minister Rustem Umerov introduced on March 28 that Ukraine’s MoD and Common Body of workers initiated a large-scale reform of aviation control and established a brand new aviation chain of command inside the Ukrainian Common Body of workers with the purpose of optimizing the improvement of Ukraine’s air features.[25] Zelensky appointed Oleksandr Kozenko as Deputy Protection Minister for Aviation tasked with heading the brand new effort.[26] Zelensky famous that Kozenko has been fascinated with integrating the F-16 and Mirage airplane into the Ukrainian Air Pressure. Zelensky additionally appointed Main Common Oleksiy Marchenko as Deputy Leader of the Common Body of workers for Fight Aviation, Brigadier Common Serhiy Holubtsov as Deputy Commander of the Air Pressure, and Colonel Oleksandr Dyakiv as Commander of Aviation and Deputy Commander of the Air Pressure. Ukrainian officers have now not elaborated at the construction of the brand new chain of command or how it’ll have an effect on interplay between Ukrainian air and floor forces in joint operations.
Key Takeaways:
Ukrainian and US officers proceed to barter the phrases of transient ceasefires on Black Sea operations and effort infrastructure moves, indicating the ceasefires don’t seem to be but totally codified.
The Kremlin seems to be the use of the Black Sea ceasefire negotiations with the USA to check the level to which Russia can extract concessions from the West, because the implementation of a maritime truce would now not require any sanctions reduction.
Eu allies proceed to offer monetary and materiel toughen to Ukraine and agreed to amplify intelligence sharing with Ukraine.
Russian forces are reportedly poised to accentuate offensive operations in different locations of the frontline in Spring and Summer season 2025 in hopes of influencing ongoing ceasefire and peace negotiations.
Russia continues to focus on civilian infrastructure in Ukraine amid stories of moving and extra fatal Russian strike ways.
Russian forces are reportedly using extra complicated long-range drones, complicating Ukrainian air protection operations and permitting extra drones to penetrate Ukraine’s air protection umbrella.
Zelensky ordered Ukraine’s Ministry of Protection (MoD) and Common Body of workers to ascertain a brand new aviation chain of command inside the Ukrainian Common Body of workers and behavior common aviation control reform to make stronger Ukraine’s air features.
Ukrainian forces not too long ago complicated in Belgorod Oblast and close to Pokrovsk. Russian forces not too long ago complicated close to Kupyansk, Toretsk, and Pokrovsk.
The Russian Ministry of Protection (MoD) introduced the release of the “Indra Military 2025” workouts in Chennai, India.
We don’t record intimately on Russian conflict crimes as a result of those actions are well-covered in Western media and do indirectly impact the army operations we’re assessing and forecasting. We can proceed to guage and record at the results of those felony actions at the Ukrainian army and the Ukrainian inhabitants and in particular on fight in Ukrainian city locations. We totally condemn Russian violations of the regulations of armed war and the Geneva Conventions and crimes towards humanity even if we don’t describe them in those stories.
Ukrainian Operations within the Russian Federation
Russian Major Effort – Japanese Ukraine (made from 3 subordinate major efforts)
Russian Subordinate Major Effort #1 – Push Ukrainian forces again from the world border with Belgorod Oblast and strategy to inside tube artillery fluctuate of Kharkiv Town
Russian Subordinate Major Effort #2 – Seize the rest of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into jap Kharkiv Oblast and encircle northern Donetsk Oblast
Russian Subordinate Major Effort #3 – Seize the whole lot of Donetsk Oblast
Russian Supporting Effort – Southern Axis
Russian Air, Missile, and Drone Marketing campaign
Russian Mobilization and Pressure Technology Efforts
Russian Technological Variations
Actions in Russian-occupied locations
Important Task in Belarus
Alleged Ceasefire Violations
Ukraine and Russia have now not but concluded a maritime ceasefire settlement because of ongoing Russian calls for for Western sanctions reduction. Negotiations in regards to the prerequisites of the ceasefire on moves towards calories infrastructure are ongoing, and the solution of those negotiations stays unclear.
The Russian MoD claimed on March 29 that Ukrainian forces struck Russian calories amenities in Belgorod Oblast and the Sudzha gasoline metering station in Kursk Oblast on March in violation of the calories infrastructure ceasefire.[27] Russian assets claimed that the United Kingdom and France participated within the reported Ukrainian strike at the Sudzha gasoline metering station.[28] Kherson Oblast profession head Vladimir Saldo claimed on March 29 that Ukrainian forces shelled sun panels in occupied Kherson Oblast, which he claimed violates the ceasefire towards calories infrastructure.[29]
See topline textual content for Ukrainian statements on Russian ceasefire violations.
Ukrainian Operations within the Russian Federation
Russian forces persisted attacks in Kursk and northerly Sumy oblasts on March 29 however didn’t make showed advances.
Unconfirmed claims: Russian milbloggers reiterated claims that Russian forces seized Gogolevka (southwest of Sudzha) and complicated in Guyevo (south of Sudzha).[30] The Russian MoD claimed that Russian forces seized Veselivka (north of Sumy Town) in Sumy Oblast, and Russian milbloggers claimed that components of the 1427th Motorized Rifle Regiment (shaped all over the 2022 partial reserve name up) seized the agreement.[31]
Russian milbloggers claimed that preventing continues close to Guyevo in Kursk Oblast and alongside the Volodymyrivka-Veselivka-Zhuravka-Basivka line (north to northeast of Sumy Town) in northern Sumy Oblast.[32]
Order of Fight: Components of the Russian 56th Airborne (VDV) Regiment (seventh VDV Department) are reportedly running in Kursk Oblast, and components of the twenty second Motorized Rifle Regiment (72nd Motorized Rifle Department, forty fourth Military Corps [AC], Leningrad Army District [LMD]) are reportedly running close to Guyevo.[33]
Ukrainian forces not too long ago marginally complicated in northwestern Belgorod Oblast.
Assessed Ukrainian Advances: Geolocated pictures printed on March 29 signifies that Ukrainian forces not too long ago complicated in jap Popovka (northwest of Belgorod Town alongside the world border).[34]
Russian milbloggers claimed that Ukrainian forces persisted assaults close to Popovka and Demidovka (east of Popovka).[35]
Order of Fight: Components of the Russian thirty fourth Motorized Rifle Brigade (forty ninth Mixed Hands Military [CAA], Southern Army District [SMD]) are reportedly running close to Popovka.[36]
The Ukrainian Common Body of workers reported on March 28 that Ukrainian forces struck a Russian border checkpoint alongside the world border close to Sluchovsk, Bryansk Oblast, on March 27.[37] The Ukrainian Common Body of workers reported that the strike killed 15 to 40 Russian group of workers and destroyed army infrastructure and gear that Russian forces have been the use of to toughen drone moves on civilian items in Sumy Oblast.
Russian Major Effort – Japanese Ukraine
Russian Subordinate Major Effort #1 – Kharkiv Oblast (Russian goal: Push Ukrainian forces again from the world border with Belgorod Oblast and strategy to inside tube artillery fluctuate of Kharkiv Town)
Russian forces persisted offensive operations within the Kharkiv path on March 29 however didn’t advance.
Russian forces attacked northeast of Kharkiv Town close to Vovchansk on March 28 and 29.[38]
Order of Fight: Drone operators of the Chechen “Akhmat” Spetsnaz “Vakha” Battalion and components of the Russian 245th Motorized Rifle Regiment (forty seventh Tank Department, 1st Guards Tank Military [GTA], Moscow Army District [MMD]) are reportedly placing Ukrainian objectives close to Udy (north of Kharkiv Town).[39]
Russian Subordinate Major Effort #2 – Luhansk Oblast (Russian goal: Seize the rest of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into jap Kharkiv Oblast and northerly Donetsk Oblast)
Russian forces not too long ago complicated within the Kupyansk path.
Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated pictures printed on March 29 signifies that Russian forces not too long ago complicated north of Stepova Novoselivka (east of Kupyansk).[40]
Unconfirmed claims: Russian milbloggers claimed on March 28 and 29 that Russian forces seized Krasne Pershe (northwest of Kupyansk).[41] A Russian milblogger claimed on March 28 that Russian forces complicated south of Zapadne, entered Mala Shapkivka, seized Kindrashivka, and complicated to Tyshchenkivka (all northeast of Kupyansk).[42]
Russian forces attacked northeast of Kupyansk close to Kamyanka and southeast of Kupyansk close to Pishchane on March 28 and 29.[43]
A Russian supply claimed on March 29 that Russian forces consolidated positions close to Topoli (northeast of Kupyansk alongside the world border).[44]
Russian forces persisted offensive operations within the Borova path on March 29 however didn’t advance.
Russian forces attacked northeast of Borova close to Bohuslavka and Zahryzove; east of Borova close to Kopanky and Nadiya; and southwest of Borova close to Hrekivka and Novomykhailivka on March 28 and 29.[45]
A Ukrainian brigade running within the Borova path printed pictures on March 28 appearing Ukrainian drone operators repelling an a minimum of strengthened company-sized Russian mechanized attack with 13 items of kit north of Lozova (northeast of Borova) at the morning of March 27.[46] The Ukrainian brigade reported that they destroyed 12 armored cars and one tank.
Russian forces persisted offensive operations within the Lyman path on March 29 however didn’t advance.
Russian forces attacked northeast of Lyman close to Kolodyazi, Nove, Katerynivka, and Zelena Dolyna and east of Lyman close to Torske on March 28 and 29.[47]
The commander of a Ukrainian drone group running within the Lyman path reported on March 29 that Russian forces are gathering forces within the Lyman path however have now not attacked not too long ago and are carrying out expensive reconnaissance missions with small teams.[48] The commander famous that Russian forces are affected by apparatus shortages within the Lyman path.
Russian Subordinate Major Effort #3 – Donetsk Oblast (Russian goal: Seize the whole lot of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas)
Russian forces persisted offensive operations southeast of Siversk close to Ivano-Darivka and south of Siversk close to Pereizne on March 28 and 29.[49]
Russian forces persisted offensive operations close to Chasiv Yar on March 29 however didn’t advance.
Russian forces performed offensive operations close to Chasiv Yar itself; north of Chasiv Yar towards Maiske; southeast of Chasiv Yar close to Kurdyumivka; and south of Chasiv Yar close to Stupochky and towards Pretechyne, Bila Hora, and Oleksandro-Shultyne on March 28 and 29.[50] A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces counterattacked close to Chasiv Yar.[51]
Order of Fight: Components of the Russian fifth Anti-Airplane Missile Regiment (98th Airborne [VDV] Department) are reportedly running close to Chasiv Yar, and drone operators of the Russian twenty seventh Artillery Regiment (sixth Motorized Rifle Department, third Military Corps [AC]) are reportedly placing Ukrainian objectives close to Predtechyne.[52] Components of the 98th Airborne (VDV) Department are reportedly running in Shevchenko Microraion.[53]
Russian forces not too long ago complicated within the Toretsk path.
Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated pictures printed on March 29 signifies that Russian forces not too long ago complicated within the western outskirts of Toretsk, west of Toretsk, and north of Druzhba (straight away northeast of Toretsk).[54]
Russian forces performed offensive operations close to Toretsk itself; north of Toretsk towards Dyliivka; east of Toretsk close to Krymske; southwest of Toretsk close to Panteleymonivka and Oleksandropil; and west of Toretsk towards Shcherbynivka on March 28 and 29.[55]
Order of Fight: Drone operators of the Russian 346th Spetsnaz Brigade (Russian Common Body of workers’s Major Directorate) and 68th Tank Regiment (one hundred and fiftieth Motorized Rifle Department, eighth Mixed Hands Military [CAA], Southern Army District [SMD]) are reportedly running close to Panteleymonivka and artillery components of the Russian 238th Artillery Brigade (eighth CAA) are reportedly placing Ukrainian objectives close to Toretsk and Panteleymonivka.[56]
Each Russian and Ukrainian forces not too long ago complicated within the Pokrovsk path.
Assessed Ukrainian advances: Geolocated pictures printed on March 28 signifies that Ukrainian forces not too long ago complicated west of Shevchenko (south of Pokrovsk).[57]
Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated pictures printed on March 29 signifies that Russian forces not too long ago complicated southwest of Kotlyarivka and east of Bohdanivka all over an attack with armored automobile toughen and seized Preobrazhenka (all southwest of Pokrovsk).[58] A Russian milblogger claimed that components of the ninetieth Tank Department (forty first CAA, CMD) participated within the advance close to Kotlyarivka.[59] The Ukrainian brigade that repelled the Russian attack said that it destroyed 5 Russian cars.[60]
Russian forces attacked northeast of Pokrovsk close to Tarasivka; east of Pokrovsk close to Yelyzavetivka, Vodyane Druhe, and Kalynove; southeast of Pokrovsk close to Lysivka; and southwest of Pokrovsk close to Kotlyne, Novoserhiivka, Udachne, Novooleksandrivka, Kotlyarivka, Upsenivka, Preobrazhenka, Sribne, Shevchenko, and Troitske on March 28 and 29.[61] A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces counterattacked close to Kotlyarivka.[62]
A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces not too long ago intensified assaults within the Pokrovsk path and that Ukrainian forces are making an attempt to make use of first-person view (FPV) drones to isolate the battlefield and complicate Russian logistics within the house.[63] ISW noticed a brief pause in Russian offensive operations and advances within the Pokrovsk path in past due January, February, and early March 2025 as Ukrainian forces intensified counterattacks and drone operations within the house.[64] Russian forces have once more intensified assaults within the house during the last 3 weeks (since early March 2025) and seem to be making an attempt to advance northeast of Pokrovsk alongside the T-0504 Pokrovsk-Kostyantynivka freeway and southwest of Pokrovsk against the Donetsk-Dnipropetrovsk oblast border house. Russian forces don’t seem to be serious about attacking straight away round or into Pokrovsk, on the other hand, and Ukrainian forces proceed to behavior localized counterattacks straight away south of the city.
Order of Fight: Components of the Russian fifty fifth Motorized Rifle Brigade (forty first CAA, Central Army District [CMD]) are reportedly running close to Pokrovsk.[65] Components of the Russian “Smuglyanka” detachment and drone operators of the “Vizantiya” detachment reportedly proceed to function within the Pokrovsk path.[66]
Russian forces persisted offensive operations within the Kurakhove path on March 29 however didn’t advance.
Unconfirmed claims: Russian milbloggers claimed on March 29 that Russian forces complicated close to Rozlyv (southwest of Kurakhove), and a minimum of one milblogger claimed that Russian forces entered the agreement however didn’t clutch it.[67]
Russian forces attacked west of Kurakhove close to Kostyantynopil and Andriivka and southwest of Kurakhove towards Rozlyv on March 28 and 29.[68]
Russian forces persisted offensive operations within the Velyka Novosilka path on March 29 however didn’t advance.
Russian forces attacked northwest of Velyka Novosilka close to Vesele, Skudne, and Dniproenerhiya; west of Velyka Novosilka close to Pryvilne; and southwest of Velyka Novosilka close to Novosilka and towards Novopil on March 28 and 29.[69]
Order of Fight: Artillery components of the Russian thirty seventh Motorized Rifle Brigade (thirty sixth CAA, Japanese Army District [EMD]) are reportedly running close to Odradne (north of Velyka Novosilka).[70]
Russian Supporting Effort – Southern Axis (Russian goal: Care for frontline positions and safe rear locations towards Ukrainian moves)
Neither Russian nor Ukrainian assets reported floor job within the Hulyaipole path on March 29.
Order of Fight: Drone operators of the Russian 1198th Motorized Rifle Regiment (thirty fifth Mixed Hands Military [CAA], Japanese Army District [EMD]), 69th Protecting Brigade (thirty fifth CAA), and thirty eighth Motorized Rifle Brigade (thirty fifth CAA) are reportedly running within the Polohy path.[71]
Russian forces persisted offensive operations in western Zaporizhia Oblast on March 29 however didn’t make showed advances.
Unconfirmed claims: The Russian MoD claimed on March 29 that Russian forces seized Shcherbaky (northwest of Robotyne).[72] Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces are advancing northwest of Robotyne towards Shcherbaky and southwest of and inside Lobkove.[73]
Russian forces attacked north of Robotyne close to Mala Tokmachka and northwest of Robotyne close to Kamyanske, Stepove, Lobkove, Mali Shcherbaky, Shcherbaky, and Nesteryanka on March 28 and 29.[74] Russian assets claimed that Ukrainian forces counterattacked close to Stepove and Shcherbaky.[75]
Ukrainian Southern Operational Command reported on March 29 that Russian forces not too long ago higher their use of armored cars in attacks within the “southern path” — most probably in connection with western Zaporizhia Oblast.[76]
Order of Fight: Components of the Russian seventh Airborne (VDV) Department are reportedly running close to Shcherbaky.[77] Components of the Russian BARS-Sarmat Unmanned Programs Particular Objective Heart (previously BARS-Sarmat Detachment, Russian Fight Military Reserve) are reportedly running within the Kamyanske path.[78]
Russian forces performed restricted offensive operations within the Dnipro (Kherson) path on March 28 and 29 however didn’t advance.
Russian forces attacked within the path of Prydniprovske and Sadove (each east of Kherson Town in west (proper) financial institution Kherson Oblast) on March 28 and 29.[79]
The “Atesh” Crimea-based Ukrainian partisan crew reported on March 29 that Russian forces are shifting air protection and digital battle (EW) programs from occupied Crimea to occupied Kherson Oblast to make amends for apparatus losses within the house.[80]
Order of Fight: Components of the Russian 61st Naval Infantry Brigade (Northern Fleet) are reportedly running in east (left) financial institution Kherson Oblast.[81]
Russian Air, Missile, and Drone Marketing campaign (Russian Purpose: Goal Ukrainian army and civilian infrastructure within the rear and at the frontline)
See topline textual content.
Russian Mobilization and Pressure Technology Efforts (Russian goal: Enlarge fight energy with out carrying out basic mobilization)
The Russian MoD introduced the release of the “Indra Military 2025” workouts in Chennai, India.[82] Russian Pacific Fleet Detachment Commander Captain First Rank Alexei Antsiferov said that the drills will take a look at joint Russian-Indian readiness and problem-solving at sea and can start on March 31.
Russian Technological Variations (Russian goal: Introduce technological inventions to optimize programs to be used in Ukraine)
Russian assets claimed on March 29 that Russia’s Unmanned Competence Heart has designed and fielded a minimum of 30 new hand-launched “Klyuch-Fortuna” fixed-wing strike drones in Ukraine.[83] The drone reportedly prices 100,000 rubles ($1,177) to fabricate, has a variety of fifty kilometers, and will lift a payload as much as 1.7 kilograms. The Unmanned Competence Heart is reportedly running to extend the drone’s payload to a few kilograms.
Actions in Russian-occupied locations (Russian goal: Consolidate administrative management of annexed locations; forcibly combine Ukrainian voters into Russian sociocultural, financial, army, and governance programs)
ISW isn’t publishing protection of actions in Russian-occupied locations as of late.
Important job in Belarus (Russian efforts to extend its army presence in Belarus and additional combine Belarus into Russian-favorable frameworks)
Not anything vital to record.
Observe: ISW does now not obtain any categorized subject matter from any supply, makes use of most effective publicly to be had data, and attracts broadly on Russian, Ukrainian, and Western reporting and social media in addition to commercially to be had satellite tv for pc imagery and different geospatial records as the foundation for those stories. References to all assets used are equipped within the endnotes of each and every replace.
[1] dot ua/rus/information/2025/03/26/7208054/
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