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Institute for the Learn about of Struggle

Institute for the Learn about of Struggle
February 20, 2025


Russian Offensive Marketing campaign Evaluate, February 19, 2025
Nicole Wolkov, Christina Harward, Grace Mappes, and Frederick W. Kagan
February 19, 2025, 6:45 pm ET

Click on right here to look ISW’s interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This map is up to date day by day along the static maps provide on this record.

Click on right here to look ISW’s interactive map of Ukraine’s offensive in Kursk Oblast.

Click on right here to look ISW’s 3-d management of terrain topographic map of Ukraine. Use of a pc (now not a cellular software) is strongly really useful for the use of this data-heavy software.

Click on right here to get entry to ISW’s archive of interactive time-lapse maps of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Those maps supplement the static control-of-terrain map that ISW produces day by day by way of appearing a dynamic frontline. ISW will replace this time-lapse map archive per 30 days.

Be aware: The information cut-off for this product used to be 1:30 pm ET on February 19 ISW will quilt next stories within the February 20 Russian Offensive Marketing campaign Evaluate.

Russian President Vladimir Putin is reportedly looking to optimize the Russian negotiations delegation to be most efficient with the particular people whom america chooses for its negotiation delegation, most likely so that you could extract most concessions from america. Kremlin Spokesperson Dmitry Peskov mentioned on February 19 that Putin will appoint a negotiator for talks with america after america appoints its personal negotiator.[1] Russian opposition outlet Meduza reported on February 19, mentioning a supply on the subject of the Kremlin, that america used to be the primary to make a choice its delegation for the February 18 bilateral talks in Saudi Arabia, and then Russia tried to “make a selection related” opposite numbers for every of the chosen US officers.[2] The supply claimed that Russian Direct Funding Fund (RDIF) CEO Kirill Dmitriev’s appointment to the delegation gave the impression in large part as a reaction to US calls for that Russia appoint any individual that will “perceive” america. Every other supply on the subject of the Kremlin instructed Meduza that Putin would possibly appoint his aide Vladimir Medinsky to the Russian negotiations delegation if Ukrainian representatives sign up for long run negotiations as a result of Medinsky took phase within the Spring 2022 Russian-Ukrainian negotiations in Istanbul. The supply claimed that the Kremlin does now not wish to come with Medinsky within the Russian delegation as long as negotiations stay bilateral between america and Russia. The Moscow Instances reported on February 19, mentioning a diplomatic supply conversant in the February 18 US-Russia assembly, that the Kremlin seeks to revive get entry to to kind of $6 billion price of frozen Russian Central Financial institution reserves in the USA.[3] The supply claimed that the Russian negotiations delegation in Saudi Arabia driven for america to agree that each international locations absolutely resume the operations in their diplomatic missions within the different nation and to go back Russian diplomatic assets in america, which US government had in the past seized on fees of getting used for intelligence functions. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio mentioned on February 18 that america and Russia had agreed to revive “the capability of [their] respective missions in Washington and Moscow.”[4] The Kremlin seems to be making an attempt to push america to simply accept financial and diplomatic phrases which are unrelated to the struggle in Ukraine, most likely in go back for Ukrainian and Western concessions which are associated with the struggle.[5] US acceptance of those financial and diplomatic phrases — with out difficult any Russian concessions on Ukraine in go back — would give away leverage that america will wish to succeed in US President Donald Trump’s mentioned goal of attaining a long-lasting and enduring peace that advantages america and Ukraine.
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Nationwide Safety Adviser Michael Waltz reiterated on February 18 that US President Donald Trump’s place that the struggle in Ukraine should result in some way this is “honest, enduring, sustainable, and applicable to all events concerned” stays unchanged.[6] Rubio, Waltz, and Particular Envoy to the Center East Steve Witkoff gave an interview to The Gentleman Report and the Related Press (AP) on February 18 following bilateral talks with Russian Overseas Minister Sergei Lavrov and Presidential Aide Yuriy Ushakov in Saudi Arabia. Waltz mentioned that any long run finish to the struggle must be “everlasting,” now not “transient as we’ve noticed previously.” Waltz mentioned that there’s going to must be “some dialogue of territory…and safety promises” and that long run talks will speak about Russia’s talent to retain any Ukrainian territory that Russia has illegally annexed since February 2022. Rubio replied a query about imaginable concessions from Russia, mentioning that those “sorts of issues” will occur thru “tricky international relations in closed rooms.” Rubio later famous that there should be concessions “made by way of each side” with a view to result in an finish to the struggle. Rubio emphasised {that a} struggle can simplest finish when “everybody concerned” within the struggle — which Rubio explicitly outlined as together with Ukraine, Russia, and US companions in Europe — is “k with” and accepts the tip settlement. Rubio replied a query about his evaluation of Russia’s want to succeed in peace following the talks in Saudi Arabia, mentioning that Russia seems prepared to “start to interact in a significant procedure to decide” the mechanism to finish the struggle, however that an end result will in the end rely at the willingness of each aspect within the struggle to “comply with sure issues.”
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reiterated on February 19 that Ukraine wishes both NATO club or a powerful army and safety promises for a sustainable peace. Zelensky emphasised that safety promises don’t essentially imply deploying peacekeeping forces to Ukraine.[7] Zelensky mentioned that it could be enough if america supplied Ukraine with 20 Patriot air protection methods and the license to regionally produce Patriot missiles.[8] Zelensky has time and again emphasised Ukraine’s want for added Patriot methods and missiles to protect towards Russian missile moves, in particular the ones with ballistic missiles concentrated on Ukrainian power infrastructure, and his February 19 statements are in line with earlier statements that Ukraine wishes a powerful army of its personal to discourage and protect towards long run Russian aggression.[9]

US Particular Consultant for Russia and Ukraine Keith Kellogg arrived in Kyiv on February 19 for his first authentic seek advice from to Ukraine.[10] Kellogg met with Ukrainian Presidential Management Leader of Personnel Andriy Yermak, and Yermak emphasised that Ukraine stays fascinated by a strategic, long-term, and complete partnership with america.[11]

Ukraine’s Ecu companions proceed to fortify Ukraine’s army and protection business base (DIB). The Lithuanian Ministry of Protection (MoD) introduced on February 19 {that a} new supply of vehicles, thermal imaging points of interest, and different army fortify arrived in Ukraine as a part of a bundle price 80 million euros (about $83.3 million) that Lithuania ready all through the Ukraine Protection Touch Team (the Ramstein structure) assembly on February 12.[12] The Lithuanian MoD estimated that Lithuania’s army fortify for Ukraine in 2025 may just succeed in 1000000000 euros (about $1.042 billion) and mentioned that Lithuania plans to center of attention its fortify on Ukraine’s air protection, ammunition, drone, and anti-drone wishes and financing for Ukrainian home guns manufacturing.
Ukrainian forces proceed to behavior drone moves towards Russian power amenities supplying the Russian army. Head of Ukraine’s Heart for Combatting Disinformation Lieutenant Andriy Kovalenko mentioned that Ukrainian forces struck the Rosneft Syzran Oil Refinery in Syzran, Samara Oblast at the evening of February 18 and 19.[13] Kovalenko famous that the refinery has a processing capability of 8.9 million heaps of oil in line with yr and produces gas, jet gas, and bitumen. Kovalenko mentioned that Russian refineries play a very powerful function in supplying Russian troops. Kovalenko mentioned that the oil refinery stopped running after the strike, and Reuters, mentioning two trade assets, additionally reported that the refinery suspended oil processing after the drone strike led to a hearth on the number one refining unit.[14] The trade assets instructed Reuters that the Syzran refinery have been running at simplest 4.7 million heaps of capability in 2024 no less than partially because of earlier Ukrainian moves. Russian opposition outlet Astra printed photos on February 19 of a fireplace on the refinery, which used to be later geolocated to inside of Syzran.[15] Samara Oblast Governor Vyacheslav Fedorishchev claimed that Ukrainian forces struck the Syzran Oil Refinery however that there used to be no “primary” injury.[16]

Key Takeaways:
Russian President Vladimir Putin is reportedly looking to optimize the Russian negotiations delegation to be most efficient with the particular people whom america chooses for its negotiation delegation, most likely so that you could extract most concessions from america.
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Nationwide Safety Adviser Michael Waltz reiterated on February 18 that US President Donald Trump’s place that the struggle in Ukraine should result in some way this is “honest, enduring, sustainable, and applicable to all events concerned” stays unchanged.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reiterated on February 19 that Ukraine wishes both NATO club or a powerful army and safety promises for a sustainable peace.
US Particular Consultant for Russia and Ukraine Keith Kellogg arrived in Kyiv on February 19 for his first authentic seek advice from to Ukraine.
Ukrainian forces proceed to behavior drone moves towards Russian power amenities supplying the Russian army.
Ukrainian forces lately complicated close to Vovchansk and Toretsk, and Russian forces lately complicated close to Borova, Siversk, Pokrovsk, Kurakhove, and Velyka Novosilka.
Russian federal topics are reportedly halting their recruitment of foreigners who don’t discuss Russian for carrier within the Russian army.
 Institute for the Learn about of Struggle

We don’t record intimately on Russian struggle crimes as a result of those actions are well-covered in Western media and do indirectly impact the army operations we’re assessing and forecasting. We will be able to proceed to judge and record at the results of those legal actions at the Ukrainian army and the Ukrainian inhabitants and in particular on fight in Ukrainian city spaces. We completely condemn Russian violations of the regulations of armed warfare and the Geneva Conventions and crimes towards humanity even supposing we don’t describe them in those stories. 
Ukrainian Operations within the Russian Federation
Russian Primary Effort – Japanese Ukraine (made out of 3 subordinate primary efforts)
Russian Subordinate Primary Effort #1 – Push Ukrainian forces again from the global border with Belgorod Oblast and solution to inside of tube artillery vary of Kharkiv Town
Russian Subordinate Primary Effort #2 – Seize the rest of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into jap Kharkiv Oblast and encircle northern Donetsk Oblast
Russian Subordinate Primary Effort #3 – Seize the whole thing of Donetsk Oblast
Russian Supporting Effort – Southern Axis
Russian Air, Missile, and Drone Marketing campaign
Russian Mobilization and Drive Era Efforts
Russian Technological Diversifications
Actions in Russian-occupied spaces
Important Process in Belarus

Ukrainian Operations within the Russian Federation

Russian forces endured offensive operations in Kursk Oblast on February 19 however didn’t make any showed advances. Russian forces endured flooring assaults northwest of Sudzha close to Sverdlikovo, north of Sudzha close to Pogrebki, and southeast of Sudzha close to Guyevo.[17] Russian assets claimed that Ukrainian forces counterattacked close to Sverdlikovo.[18]
 
Unconfirmed Russian-claimed advances: Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces complicated kind of 1.2 kilometers close to Lebedevka, in unspecified spaces alongside the Loknya River (each northwest of Sudzha), and close to Sverdlikovo.[19]

Russian President Vladimir Putin claimed on February 19 that components of the Russian 810th Naval Infantry Brigade (Black Sea Fleet [BSF]) crossed the Kursk Oblast-Ukraine global border.[20] Ukrainian officers denied this declare and reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian sabotage and reconnaissance teams making an attempt to move the global border, together with one lately within the Nikolayev-Darino-Zhuravka course (northwest of Sudzha).[21] Ukraine’s State Border Provider Spokesperson Andriy Demchenko mentioned that the border carrier has now not noticed any Russian makes an attempt to damage throughout the Ukrainian border.[22]

Order of Struggle: Parts of the Russian thirty fourth Motorized Rifle Brigade (forty ninth Blended Palms Military [CAA], Southern Army District [SMD]) reportedly proceed running close to Pogrebki; and components of the a hundred and fifty fifth Naval Infantry Brigade (Pacific Fleet), 1140th Artillery Regiment (76th Airborne [VDV] Department), and “Anvar Spetsnaz” detachment (most likely regarding the BARS-25 “Anvar” volunteer detachment) reportedly proceed running in Kursk Oblast.[23]

Russian Primary Effort – Japanese Ukraine

Russian Subordinate Primary Effort #1 – Kharkiv Oblast (Russian goal: Push Ukrainian forces again from the global border with Belgorod Oblast and solution to inside of tube artillery vary of Kharkiv Town)

Ukrainian forces lately complicated northeast of Kharkiv Town. Russian forces endured restricted flooring assaults northeast of Kharkiv Town close to Vovchansk on February 19.[24]

Assessed Ukrainian advances: Geolocated photos printed on February 18 signifies that Ukrainian forces lately complicated inside of central Vovchansk.[25]

An officer in a Ukrainian brigade running close to Vovchansk mentioned that Russian forces have higher the depth in their flooring assaults in Vovchansk all through chillier climate as a part of efforts to advance to the southern financial institution of the Vovcha River.[26]

Russian Subordinate Primary Effort #2 – Luhansk Oblast (Russian goal: Seize the rest of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into jap Kharkiv Oblast and northerly Donetsk Oblast)

Russian forces endured offensive operations within the Kupyansk course on February 19 however didn’t make any showed advances. Russian forces performed offensive operations northeast of Kupyansk close to Holubivka and towards Mala Shapkivka, east of Kupyansk close to Petropavlivka, and southeast of Kupyansk close to Pishchane on February 18 and 19.[27] A Ukrainian brigade running within the Kupyansk course mentioned that Russian forces performed an no less than bolstered platoon-sized mechanized attack and that Ukrainian forces destroyed 3 armored staff carriers and one tank.[28] A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces counterattacked close to Topoli (north of Kupyansk alongside the global border).[29]

 
Unconfirmed Russian-claimed advances: Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces complicated in central Topoli and north of the agreement, north of Novomlynsk (north of Kupyansk), and close to Holubivka.[30]

The spokesperson a Ukrainian brigade running within the Kupyansk course mentioned that Russian forces are attacking in teams starting from two to 30 staff in dimension.[31] The spokesperson mentioned that Russian forces first deploy much less nicely skilled infantry to stumble on Ukrainian firing positions, then behavior moves on Ukrainian positions, after which deploy higher skilled infantry to assault the Ukrainian flanks.
Russian forces lately complicated within the Borova course. Russian forces performed offensive operations northeast of Borova close to Zahryzove and Lozova, east of Borova close to Kopanky, and southeast of Borova close to Makiivka on February 18 and 19.[32]

Assessed Russian advances: The Ukrainian Common Personnel printed a map on February 19 indicating that Russian forces lately seized Zelenyi Hai (east of Borova).[33]

Unconfirmed Russian-claimed advances: A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces complicated southwest of Makiivka.[34]

Russian forces endured offensive operations within the Lyman course on February 19 however didn’t make any showed advances. Russian forces performed offensive operations northeast of Lyman close to Novolyubivka, Nevske, Yampolivka, and Kolodyazi and east of Lyman within the Serebryanske wooded area house on February 18 and 19.[35]

Unconfirmed Russian-claimed advances: A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces complicated southeast of Novolyubivka.[36]

Russian Subordinate Primary Effort #3 – Donetsk Oblast (Russian goal: Seize the whole thing of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas)

Russian forces lately complicated within the Siversk course. Russian forces performed offensive operations northeast of Siversk close to Hryhorivka and Bilohorivka and east of Siversk close to Verkhnokamyanske on February 18 and 19.[37]

Assessed Russian advances: The Ukrainian Common Personnel printed a map on February 19 indicating that Russian forces lately complicated north of Mykolaivka (southwest of Siversk).[38]

Unconfirmed Russian-claimed advances: A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces marginally complicated in Bilohorivka.[39]

Order of Struggle: Artillery components of the Russian 123rd Motorized Rifle Brigade (third Blended Palms Military [CAA], previously second Luhansk Other people’s Republic Military Corps [AC], Southern Army District [SMD]) are reportedly running within the Siversk course.[40]

Russian forces endured offensive operations within the Chasiv Yar course on February 19 however didn’t advance. Russian forces performed offensive operations close to Chasiv Yar itself, northeast of Chasiv Yar close to Vasyukivka, and south of Chasiv Yar towards Oleksandro-Shultyne on February 18 and 19.[41]

Order of Struggle: Parts of the “Shustry” Detachment of Chechen Akhmat Spetsnaz are reportedly running close to Chasiv Yar.[42]

Ukrainian forces lately complicated within the Toretsk course. Russian forces performed offensive operations close to Toretsk itself; northeast of Toretsk close to Ozaryanivka, Dyliivka, and Krymske; east of Toretsk close to Leonidivka; and west of Toretsk close to Shcherbynivka on February 18 and 19.[43] A Russian milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces are counterattacking close to Krymske.[44]
Assessed Ukrainian advances: Geolocated photos printed on February 18 signifies that Ukrainian forces lately complicated in jap Shcherbynivka.[45]
 
Unconfirmed Russian-claimed advances: Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces complicated north of Druzhba (east of Toretsk), in Novospaske (west of Toretsk), and west of Leonidivka.[46]

The manager of group of workers of a Ukrainian battalion running within the Toretsk course mentioned that Russian forces hardly ever use automobiles in city spaces however are the use of small infantry teams and even unmarried servicemembers to advance area to accommodate.[47]

Order of Struggle: Ukrainian army observer Kostyantyn Mashovets mentioned that components of the Russian ninth Motorized Rifle Brigade (51st CAA, previously 1st Donetsk Other people’s Republic [DNR] AC, SMD) are running in Toretsk.[48] Drone operators of the Russian “Vega” Spetsnaz Detachment (twenty fourth Guards Spetsnaz Brigade, Primary Intelligence Directorate of the Russian Common Personnel [GRU]) are reportedly running in Toretsk, and components of the ninth Motorized Rifle Brigade (51st CAA) are reportedly running close to Novospaske.[49]

Russian forces lately complicated within the Pokrovsk course. Russian forces endured attacking northeast of Pokrovsk close to Vodyane Druhe, Zelene Pole, Malynivka, and Tarasivka; east of Pokrovsk close to Myrolyubivka, Yelyzavetivka, Novotoretske, and Promin; southeast of Pokrovsk close to Lysivka; south of Pokrovsk close to Novoukrainka; and southwest of Pokrovsk close to Pishchane, Kotlyne, Udachne, Uspenivka, Nadiivka, Novooleksandrivka, Kotlyarivka, Preobrazhenka, and Zaporizhzhia on February 18 and 19.[50] Mashovets mentioned that Ukrainian forces effectively counterattacked close to Dachenske and complicated south of the agreement.[51] Russian milbloggers claimed that Ukrainian forces counterattacked close to Zaporizhzhia, Preobrazhenka, Tarasivka, and Yelyzavetivka.[52]
 
Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated photos printed on February 19 signifies that Russian forces lately complicated north of Nadiivka.[53]

Unconfirmed Russian-claimed advances: Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces complicated close to Myrne, Novolyubivka, and Berezivka [54]

The spokesperson of a Ukrainian brigade running within the Pokrovsk course mentioned on February 19 that Russian forces proceed to assault in small infantry teams and simplest use civilian automobiles confiscated from Ukrainian civilians in occupied Ukraine.[55]

Order of Struggle: Mashovets mentioned that components of the Russian fifth Motorized Rifle Brigade (51st CAA) are attacking towards Yelyzavetivka.[56] Mashovets mentioned that components of the 74th and fifty fifth motorized rifle brigades (either one of the forty first CAA, Central Army District [CMD]) and thirtieth and fifteenth motorized rifle brigades (either one of the second CAA, CMD) are running alongside the Pishchane-Kotlyne-Udachne-Uspenivka line.[57] Mashovets mentioned that components of the 87th Rifle Regiment (ninetieth Tank Department, forty first CAA) and 433rd Motorized Rifle Regiment (twenty seventh Motorized Rifle Department, second CAA) are running close to and south of Uspenivka. Mashovets mentioned that components of the sixth, eightieth, and 239th tank regiments and 228th Motorized Rifle Regiments (all the ninetieth Tank Department) are running alongside the Nadiivka-Sribne line (southwest of Pokrovsk).[58]

Russian forces lately complicated within the Kurakhove course. Russian forces endured attacking west of Kurakhove close to Kostyantynopil, Andriivka, and Ulakly and towards Oleksiivka and southwest of Kurakhove close to Rozdolne on February 18 and 19.[59]
 
Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated photos printed on February 16 signifies that Russian forces lately complicated southeast of Kostyantynopil.[60]

Unconfirmed Russian-claimed advances: Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces complicated northwest of Andriivka and south of Rozlyv (southwest of Kurakhove).[61]

The spokesperson of a Ukrainian brigade running within the Novopavlivka (Kurakhove) course mentioned on February 19 that Russian forces lately performed a kind of bolstered battalion-sized mechanized attack within the Kurakhove course with kind of 40 armored automobiles in numerous columns.[62] The spokesperson mentioned that Ukrainian drone operators destroyed kind of 20 armored automobiles. The spokesperson is most likely regarding the kind of battalion-sized mechanized attack close to Bahatyr (west of Kurakhove) on February 15.[63] The deputy commander of a Ukrainian brigade running within the Novopavlivka course mentioned that Russian forces in the past used “masses of 1000’s ” of artillery shells however are actually specializing in artillery accuracy.[64]

Order of Struggle: Mashovets mentioned that components of the Russian 67th Rifle Regiment (ninetieth Tank Department) are running close to Andriivka.[65] Mashovets mentioned that components of the a hundred and tenth and 114th motorized rifle brigades (either one of the 51st CAA), thirty sixth Motorized Rifle Brigade (twenty ninth CAA, Japanese Army District [EMD]), thirty ninth Motorized Rifle Brigade (68th AC, EMD), and 57th Motorized Rifle Brigade (fifth CAA, EMD) are running alongside the Dachne-Ulakly line.
Russian forces lately complicated within the Velyka Novosilka course. Russian forces performed offensive operations northwest of Velyka Novosilka in opposition to Burlatske, west of Velyka Novosilka close to Novosilka and in opposition to Pryvilne, and southwest of Velyka Novosilka close to Novopil on February 18 and 19.[66]
 
Assessed Russian advances: Geolocated photos printed on February 15 signifies that Russian forces lately complicated to southeastern Novoocheretuvate (north of Velyka Novosilka).[67]

Unconfirmed Russian-claimed advances: Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces complicated east of Novoocheretuvate, southeast of Pryvilne, and east of Novosilka.[68] A Russian supply claimed that Russian forces have seized maximum of Novoocheretuvate and Novosilka.[69]

Order of Struggle: Mashovets mentioned that components of the Russian 127th Motorized Rifle Department (fifth CAA, EMD), fortieth Naval Infantry Brigade (Pacific Fleet), 336th Naval Infantry Brigade (Baltic Fleet), and thirty fourth Motorized Rifle Brigade (forty ninth CAA, SMD) are running north and northwest of Velyka Novosilka.[70] Parts of the 57th Motorized Rifle Brigade (fifth CAA, EMD) are reportedly running in Novosilka.[71]
 
Russian Supporting Effort – Southern Axis (Russian goal: Care for frontline positions and protected rear spaces towards Ukrainian moves)

Russian forces endured flooring assaults in western Zaporizhia Oblast on February 19 however didn’t advance. Russian forces performed attacks northwest of Robotyne close to Mali Shcherbaky, Novoandriivka, and Stepove on February 18 and 19.[72]
 
A Ukrainian brigade running in Zaporizhia Oblast printed photos on February 19 of Ukrainian drones destroying a Russian Tor M-2, a Buk M-2, and a Buk M-3 air protection gadget previously day.[73] The Ukrainian Common Personnel reported on February 19 that Ukrainian forces struck a place of the Russian sixty fourth Motorized Rifle Brigade (thirty fifth Blended Palms Military [CAA], Japanese Army District [EMD]) close to Chumatske (south of Hulyaipole within the Russian close to rear).[74]

Neither Russian nor Ukrainian assets reported preventing within the Kherson course on February 19.

Order of Struggle: Parts of the Russian eightieth Arctic Motorized Rifle Brigade (14th Military Corps [AC], Leningrad Army District [LMD]) reportedly proceed running within the Kherson course.[75]

Russian Air, Missile, and Drone Marketing campaign (Russian Goal: Goal Ukrainian army and civilian infrastructure within the rear and at the frontline)

Russian forces performed a chain of drone and missile moves towards Ukraine at the evening of February 18 and 19. The Ukrainian Air Drive reported that Russian forces struck Sumy Oblast with two Iskander-M/Kn-23 ballistic missiles introduced from Voronezh Oblast.[76] The Ukrainian Air Drive reported that Russian forces additionally introduced 167 Shahed and decoy drones from Oryol, Bryansk, and Kursk oblasts; Millerovo, Rostov Oblast; Shatalove, Smolensk Oblast; and Primorsko-Akhtarsk, Krasnodar Krai. The Ukrainian Air Drive reported that Ukrainian forces shot down 106 drones over Kharkiv, Poltava, Sumy, Chernihiv, Cherkasy, Kyiv, Kirovohrad, Khmelnytskyi, Zhytomyr, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhia, Kherson, Odesa, and Mykolaiv oblasts and that 56 decoy drones had been “misplaced,” most likely because of Ukrainian digital war (EW) interference. Ukrainian officers reported that Russian drones struck Odesa, Kyiv, Sumy, Cherkasy, and Zaporizhia oblasts and that Russian drones struck power infrastructure in Odesa Town.[77]
Ukraine’s State Emergency Provider reported on February 19 that emergency services and products are nonetheless running to extinguish the smoldering fires on the Chornobyl Nuclear Energy Plant (NPP) following the February 14 Russian drone strike towards the NPP.[78]

Russian Mobilization and Drive Era Efforts (Russian goal: Enlarge fight energy with out engaging in basic mobilization)

Russian federal topics are reportedly halting their recruitment of foreigners who don’t discuss Russian for carrier within the Russian army. Russian opposition outlet Verstka reported on February 19 that government in Moscow Oblast aren’t deploying those that signed army carrier contracts however don’t discuss Russian to coaching, and a supply mentioned that there are lately 150 Chinese language electorate who’ve signed contracts however are looking forward to orders.[79] Two army recruiters instructed Verstka that different unspecified federal topics have additionally in large part stopped recruiting foreigners who don’t discuss Russian. An army recruiter urged that language limitations are inflicting problems at the frontline, however Verstka famous that friction because of language limitations isn’t new amongst Russian frontline forces.
The Kremlin continues efforts to posture the Russian protection business base (DIB) as extremely productive. Russian President Vladimir Putin visited the Radar MMS protection undertaking in St. Petersburg on February 19 and awarded the undertaking with the state “Order of Alexander Nevsky” award.[80] Putin highlighted the undertaking’s function in production complicated drones, radio digital and telecommunications apparatus, earth floor tracking methods, and navigation methods that fortify Russian detection and precision strike features. Russian Safety Council Deputy Chairperson Dmitry Medvedev visited the Kazan Gunpowder Plant on February 19 and claimed that modernization allowed the plant to extend its manufacturing of ammunition for more than one unspecified guns.[81]
Russian milbloggers proceed to boost alarm concerning the Russian army command’s deficient remedy of wounded staff. A Russian milblogger printed an deal with reportedly from a battalion commander within the fifth Motorized Rifle Brigade (51st Blended Palms Military [CAA], previously 1st Donetsk Other people’s Republic [DNR AC], Southern Army District [SMD]) to wounded staff who asked to be pulled from fight, wherein the battalion commander reprimanded the injured squaddies for the use of their harm bills and complaining about their accidents.[82] Every other Russian milblogger and previous Typhoon-Z trainer, who often complains about systemic problems within the Russian army, criticized the battalion commander for his reprimands.[83] The milblogger accused the battalion commander of failing to control his forces and criticized the commander’s trust that with the ability to shoot a gun is enough restoration from an harm.
Russian Technological Diversifications (Russian goal: Introduce technological inventions to optimize methods to be used in Ukraine)

Not anything vital to record.
Actions in Russian-occupied spaces (Russian goal: Consolidate administrative management of annexed spaces; forcibly combine Ukrainian electorate into Russian sociocultural, financial, army, and governance methods)

ISW isn’t publishing protection of actions in Russian-occupied spaces as of late.

Important task in Belarus (Russian efforts to extend its army presence in Belarus and extra combine Belarus into Russian-favorable frameworks)

Not anything vital to record.
Be aware: ISW does now not obtain any categorised subject matter from any supply, makes use of simplest publicly to be had knowledge, and attracts widely on Russian, Ukrainian, and Western reporting and social media in addition to commercially to be had satellite tv for pc imagery and different geospatial information as the foundation for those stories. References to all assets used are supplied within the endnotes of every replace.

 

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[47] dot com.ua/2025/02/19/u-nyh-ye-styl-posylaty-na-zabij-rosijski-komandyry-lyublyat-vykorystovuvaty-zhyvu-vybuhivku/
[48] .me/zvizdecmanhustu/2575
[49] .me/RVvoenkor/86544; .me/yurasumy/21264
[50] ; ; ; .me/voenkorKotenok/62254; .me/voenkorKotenok/62256 ; .me/yurasumy/21263 ; .me/yurasumy/21262
[51] .me/zvizdecmanhustu/2573
[52] .me/yurasumy/21262 ; .me/wargonzo/24860 ; .me/voenkorKotenok/62254
[53] .me/WarArchive_ua/25802
[54] .me/yurasumy/21264 ;
[55] dot com.ua/2025/02/19/tehniky-my-majzhe-ne-bachymo-rosiyany-prodovzhuyut-myasni-shturmy-na-pokrovsk/
[56] .me/zvizdecmanhustu/2575
[57] .me/zvizdecmanhustu/2573
[58] .me/zvizdecmanhustu/2574
[59] ; ; ; .me/RVvoenkor/86514 ; .me/DnevnikDesantnika/24115 ; .me/dva_majors/64851 ; .me/motopatriot78/32411 ; .me/yurasumy/21261
[60] .me/tivaz_artillery/5034
[61] .me/RVvoenkor/86514; .me/yurasumy/21261
[62] .com dot ua/2025/02/19/jshly-yak-kachenyata-za-kachechkoyu-yegeri-desantnyky-rozbyly-bronovanu-kolonu-yaka-zablukala-na-minnomu-poli/
[63] ;
[64] .com dot ua/2025/02/19/merznut-u-posadkah-majbutnim-dobryvom-na-novopavlivskomu-napryamku-vorog-ne-otrymav-zhodnogo-vyhlopu/
[65] .me/zvizdecmanhustu/2574
[66] .me/voin_dv/13495
[67] .me/WarArchive_ua/25793; .me/prolibertate110/1075; .me/creamy_caprice/8431;
[68] .me/z_arhiv/30912 ; .me/z_arhiv/30912; .me/yurasumy/21260
[69] .me/boris_rozhin/155076; .me/zovpobedy/14493
[70] .me/zvizdecmanhustu/2575
[71] .me/RVvoenkor/86547
[72] ;
[73] dot com.ua/2025/02/19/nebesnyj-sejshn-vid-syl-oborony-bijczi-velykogo-lugu-znyshhyly-try-vorozhi-zrk-za-den/;
[74]
[75] .me/NeoficialniyBeZsonoV/43844
[76] .me/kpszsu/29085
[77] dot media/951829-specpredstavnik-ssa-kellog-pribude-do-ukraini-es-gotue-novij-paket-vijskovoi-dopomogi-na-6-mlrd-evro-1092-den-vijni/?anchor=live_1739946077&utm_source=copylink&utm_medium=playstation ; .me/kyivoda/25491; dot media/odesa/951897-unaslidok-ataki-droniv-na-odesu-travmuvalos-cotiri-ludini/; .me/truonline/4440; dot media/odesa/951845-v-odesi-vnaslidok-ataki-droniv-castina-budinkiv-zalisilis-bez-tepla-vodi-ta-svitla/; dot media/odesa/951977-poskodzena-ditaca-likarna-foto-naslidkiv-nicnoi-ataki-bpla-na-odesu/; ; dot media/odesa/951897-unaslidok-ataki-droniv-na-odesu-travmuvalos-cotiri-ludini/; .me/truonline/4440; ; .me/dtek_ua/2309
[78] .me/dsns_telegram/38462; dot media/kyiv/952087-caes-pisla-udaru-drona-trivae-likvidacia-naslidkiv/
[79] dot media/v-moskve-perestali-nabirat-v-armiyu-inostranczev-bez-znaniya-russkogo-yazyka
[80] dot ru/occasions/president/information/76285
[81] .me/tass_agency/301596
[82] .me/Sladkov_plus/12502
[83] .me/philologist_zov/2058; .me/philologist_zov/2059
 

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